Fourth of July Weather in Texas: Cooler Temps, Scattered Rain to Replace Usual Scorching Heat
This Independence Day, Texans can expect a break from the typical blistering heat, with cloudy skies, cooler temperatures, and scattered showers—especially across Central and South Texas. While the holiday won’t be a complete washout, those with outdoor plans should stay weather-aware, particularly in the morning. Here’s a detailed breakdown of what to expect.
Fourth of July Forecast Timeline
Morning (4 a.m. – Noon): Highest Rain Chances
- Rain Coverage: Scattered to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, primarily affecting San Antonio, the Hill Country, and surrounding areas.
- Rain Chance: Around 60% in San Antonio.
- Potential Impacts:
- Localized heavy rainfall (1-2 inches possible), which could lead to minor street flooding.
- Drivers should exercise caution for slick roads during early holiday travel.
Afternoon (Noon – 5 p.m.): Decreasing Rain, Milder Temps
- Rain Chance: Drops to 30%, with only isolated showers lingering.
- Temperatures: Highs in the upper 80s—well below San Antonio’s average July 4 high of 97°F.
- If the city stays below 90°F, this will be the coolest Independence Day since 2008.
- Outdoor Plans? Most activities should proceed, but keeping an umbrella handy is wise.
Evening Fireworks Forecast (9 p.m. Onward)
- Rain Chance: Falls below 20%, with only a stray shower possible.
- Temperatures: A pleasant low 80s during fireworks, dipping into the 70s later.
Weekend Outlook: Gradual Warming Trend
- Saturday:
- 20-30% rain chance early, tapering off by afternoon.
- Mostly cloudy with highs in the upper 80s to near 90°F.
- Sunday:
- Drier conditions, partly cloudy skies.
- Highs climb closer to average, reaching 92–94°F.
Next Week: Summer Heat Returns
By Monday and Tuesday, high pressure will rebuild, bringing back sunny skies and mid-90s temperatures—marking a return to typical Texas summer weather.
Key Takeaways
- Morning showers may disrupt early plans, but the afternoon and evening look mostly dry.
- Unseasonably cool temps offer rare July relief—enjoy it before the heat rebounds next week.
- Fireworks displays should proceed with minimal weather concerns.
Stay tuned for updates, and have a safe and festive Fourth of July!